Research & Press

Brexit: Do we stand a chance?

22 June 2017
London Business School
“The EU is very self-confident now,” said Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform. “The eurozone is growing fast, (Emmanuel) Macron is a powerful new figure who will revitalise the Franco-German relationship and (Donald) Trump and Brexit are creating solidarity amongst European governments. They (the EU) feel they’re not going to have to make any concessions at all. They laugh at the idea that anything could destabilise the eurozone.”

Macron og Merkel skaber gennembrud for fælles forsvar i EU – men uden Danmark

22 June 2017
Politiken
Eksperter i europæisk sikkerhedspolitik som Luigi Scazzieri fra Centre for European Reform (CER) i London er enige i, at beslutningen om permanent forstærket samarbejde er et gennembrud. »Det er klart et vigtigt skridt. Men det er svært at sige præcis, hvad det vil blive brugt til. Lige nu betragter jeg egentlig skabelsen af en forsvarsfond som den vigtigste beslutning«, siger han.

The EU should spell out options for Britain

20 June 2017
The Evening Standard
Writing for the Centre for European Reform, Simon Tilford suggested last week that once we have agreement on citizens’ rights and the £60 billion-plus exit fee, which presumably Boris Johnson will suggest should be paid with funds sucked out of the NHS, then the EU should spell out publicly for British consumption the remaining options to fuel an informed debate.

Negotiations begin over British split from European Union

19 June 2017
The Washington Post
“They can be more relaxed about Britain crashing out without a deal that could destabilize the EU economy and destabilize the euro zone,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform.

The 10 Brexit compromises Theresa May won't talk about

19 June 2017
The Guardian
Neither Theresa May nor Jeremy Corbyn said much about the substance of the Brexit negotiations during the election campaign.

EU has negotiating team of all talents

19 June 2017
The Times
Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, a British think tank, has stated that Brexit will not be a single event but a process. This process commenced with the triggering of Article 50, the formal notification to leave. Negotiations must be completed within two years from the date of commencement, unless a time extension is allowed.

Macron wins majority in French parliament, pollsters project

18 June 2017
Bloomberg
“Though Emmanuel Macron and Tony Blair have much in common, Blair never sought to smash the UK’s party system, which EM has done in France,” Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said in a Twitter posting, referring to the British prime minister who won three straight elections from 1997.

Seizing the initiative

16 June 2017
Financial Times
The question is whether in 10-15 years the EU side will regret not taking a more proactive approach based on how close a relationship the bloc actually wants with Britain. Here Simon Tilford and John Springford of the Centre for European Reform have some ideas. If Britain makes some progress on the divorce issues, they want the EU to respond “by laying out in public, and in some detail, the four options facing Britain”.

European support for EU surges in wake of Brexit vote

15 June 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said a growing economy and ebbing of the worst of the refugee crisis had created a more positive backdrop for the EU in the past year, even as specific doubts remained. “In terms of image, which is hugely influential, things are looking up,” he said. “With countries doing better, you would expect a bit more optimism.”

Brexit talks start Monday: The UK still lacks a plan

15 June 2017
CNN Money
"The EU can only negotiate once the UK has come to a consensus on how to proceed -- which will only happen once British politicians openly debate Brexit's dilemmas," said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform. ...Tilford said that if May sticks to her uncompromising approach, the EU will have "no option but to respond in kind."

Brexit briefing: Honest options

15 June 2017
Financial Times
British politicians are still avoiding the hard truths about leaving the EU, say Simon Tilford and John Springford of the Centre for European Reform. To force an honest debate, they suggest that the EU-27 present Britain with four options for Brexit.

EU opens door for Brexit retreat, but at a price

14 June 2017
The Independent
It is worth showing a generosity of spirit according to Ian Bond, the director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform. “If you see your friend about to jump off a cliff, would you try to persuade them things aren’t so bad? Or shrug, say ‘Your choice’ and walk off?” he said.

Ruth Davidson tells Theresa May to set new course for a softer Brexit

13 June 2017
The Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said the new political reality meant there was simply no parliamentary majority for the kind of Brexit put forward by Mrs May during the election campaign. “My view is that if Mrs May is to have any future as prime minister she has to change the substance of her line on Brexit,” he said.

Britain's Theresa May comes under pressure to soften her stance on Brexit

13 June 2017
The Washington Post
“We now have a Parliament that’s gridlocked,” said John Springford, research director at the CER. “It doesn’t appear that there’s a majority for hard Brexit, a majority for soft Brexit, or certainly not a majority for remain. It’s a very confused picture.”

EU migration showdown: Divide deepens after Brussels launches legal action against Hungary, Poland and Czech Republic

13 June 2017
The Telegraph
"There are no winners in this spat over the re-location policy," said Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, eastern EU expect at the Centre for European Reform, predicting that case could ultimately reach the European Court of Justice. ..."The public will almost certainly see its actions as an attack on the countries’ sovereignty. Governments will probably reinforce this perception by their domestic narrative," she added. 

Hard or soft: How will the UK take its Brexit?

13 June 2017
Deutsche Welle
"The mandate for the government to negotiate whatever kind of Brexit it wants - and which was shaping up to be very hard - has now gone," Simon Tilford of the Centre for European Reform told DW.  "It's very, very hard to see - or impossible to see, really - how the government could walk away with no deal, and it's very hard to see how the government could push that kind of hard Brexit."

In Britain's post-election disarray, can a Brexit consensus be found?

13 June 2017
The Christian Science Monitor
“With her party divided and no majority in Parliament, May will run the constant risk of one side or another rebelling,” predicts Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform. “It is difficult to see how she can pursue any Brexit in these circumstances.”

Großbritannien: Von oben herab

13 June 2017
Die Zeit
Simon Tilford, stellvertretender Direktor des Centre for European Reform, formuliert es so: "Dass sie direkt in die Brexit-Verhandlungen gehen will, ist für unseren Ruf sehr schlecht. Großbritannien wirkt unseriös, ehrlich gesagt, sogar wahnhaft. Es wäre ehrlicher gewesen, wenn May zurückgetreten wäre und den Europäern signalisiert hätte, dass Großbritannien mehr Zeit braucht. Doch für sie sind die Brexit-Verhandlungen der einzige Weg, um an der Macht zu bleiben. Wenn es zu Verzögerungen käme, könnte sie von ihrer Partei weggeputscht werden."
BBC Radio 4: Germany - Anxious Giant

BBC Radio 4: Germany - Anxious Giant

12 June 2017
Sophia Besch talks to Radio 4 about the standing of the German army in Germany and its relationship with the public (from 02.30).

Germany: Reluctant military giant?

12 June 2017
BBC News
For a long time, says military expert Sophia Besch from the Centre for European Reform: "If you were a soldier [in Germany] you could not really ride a train in your uniform. You'd be approached by passengers calling you a 'murderer'."

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