In the Press - Brexit has already cost £11.5billion in trade, Centre for European Reform think tank estimates

13 April 2021
Evening Standard
The Centre for European Reform estimated that quitting the single market and customs union at the end of December 2020 had cut trade in goods by £3.5 billion, or five per cent, by February.It stressed that this was on top of an £8 billion, or ten per cent, hit to trade between the June 2016 Brexit referendum and leaving the single market at the end of 2020, a period which saw a sharp fall in the value of the Pound.

In the Press - US signals support for Ukraine and will add troops in Germany

13 April 2021
The New York Times
Ian Bond, a former British diplomat who is head of foreign policy for the Centre for European Reform, said that a war was unlikely now but could come this summer. He wrote in a briefing paper that Russian analysts were suggesting that the ground in eastern Ukraine would be too wet for armor for another month, and that the helicopters and aircraft needed for an airborne assault were still absent from Crimea — signs that no attack is imminent.

In the Press - El traspié en Ankara pone contra las cuerdas a Michel

11 April 2021
El Pais
Camino Mortera-Martínez, investigadora del Centre for European Reform, opina que el incidente es “el síntoma de una enfermedad más grave”, que es el “tipo de liderazgo que tenemos en la UE”. “Una presidencia será tan importante como la persona que esté al frente decida. Puede ser muy buena, irrelevante o mala”, sostiene la analista, que añade: “Dudo de que vaya a dimitir, pero también de que vayan a renovarlo el próximo año”.

In the Press - Labour attacks ‘arrogant’ Tory government over EU trade deal effects

07 April 2021
Financial Times
John Springford of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, said that non-tariff barriers caused by the TCA that made trade with Europe relatively harder, would affect both goods and services.  “For example, the UK shellfish industry finds it much harder to export to the EU, as we’ve seen. Its costs go up, its market shrinks and some of its workers and capital shift over time out of fishing and into less productive, lower-paid economic activity,” he explained.

In the Press - What if Europe's fiscal largesse were as generous as America's?

03 April 2021
The Economist
While in America gross fixed capital formation grew by just under 1% a year in 2016-20, in Europe it shrank, according to an analysis by Christian Odendahl and John Springford of the Centre for European Reform.

In the Press - El Brexit agrava la crisis desatada por la pandemia en el Reino Unido

02 April 2021
El Pais
La Comisión Europea estimó que el coste previo a la salida para el Reino Unido fue de entre el 1,7% y el 2,9% del PIB y, según un informe del gabinete de estrategia Centre for European Reform (CER), las exportaciones se redujeron un 10% en el agitado periodo comprendido entre el referéndum de 2016 y el final del periodo de transición, en diciembre de 2020. 

In the Press - Brexit in numbers

01 April 2021
Financial Times
John Springford at the Centre for European Reform has done some fascinating modelling showing that UK trade was £16bn in January lower than a “synthetic” UK that remained in the single market and customs union. (This after Brexit had already led to a 10 per cent reduction in total UK goods trade since the referendum in 2016 to the end of last year).

In the Press - Conference on Future of Europe must restore sense of purpose to EU post-Brexit, says former UK MEP

30 March 2021
The Parliament Magazine
Christian Odendahl, chief economist and John Springford, deputy director at the Centre for European Reform, say the scale of US President Joe Biden’s spending plans means the US economy will recover much faster than Europe’s.They said, “There are two reasons why the economic recovery in Europe will be slower. First, the rollout of vaccines in Europe is roughly six weeks behind the US. As of late March, the EU had administered 13 doses per 100 people, according to the ‘Our World In Data’ website. The US passed that mark on February 10.” 

In the Press - Joe Biden economic recovery puts Brussels to shame – Eurozone warning

29 March 2021
Express
Chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, Christian Odendhal argued the Brussels bloc could learn some lessons from the US model.He wrote: "In some ways, Europe is more in need of stimulus than the US, yet on current plans, its governments will do far less than the Biden administration."

In the Press - Merkel’s party is polls apart from German electorate after vaccine botch

28 March 2021
The Telegraph
“The CDU never really ran on any ideas, it ran on the status quo and good management,” says Christian Odendahl, Centre for European Reform chief economist. “This is why this combination of the pandemic mismanagement and the PPE scandal is so terrible for the CDU… If you can’t manage this crisis well, then what’s the point of you?”